If I had a crystal ball, I’d be tempted to cover the damn thing up because the next several weeks are looking downright crappy. So much is drifting around in the predictive linguistics that Cliff at www.halfpasthuman.com is planning to put out a “Shape of Things To Come” report around the 15th. But, beyond that, after swearing off ‘short term immediacy values’ there are three that I outlined for Peoplenomics subscribers on Sunday that you may as well put them on your refrigerator door so you can play along at home.
The three high immediacy values indicate the increased chance of a major earthquake this week (Sep 2-5, more likely 3-4) which will be large enough (>6.8 to 8.0+) that a couple of weeks after the quake we’ll still be watching imagery of buildings falling into their foundations. Might want to bookmark the USGS global seismograph page here. Oh, and the global quake list here. Along about Thursday or Friday is when the data seems to peak.
Quake could be Turkey/Pakistan/Asia/China because of the time delay in the pictures, or around latitude 34 north but that data’s very broad, so anything south of the SF area latitude-wise seems possible. And may not be North lat. See the problem?
Then about a week later (shading toward September 7-11 there’s an increased risk of ‘terrorism’ events (explosions, no further detail or clarity yet) and then around September 13-15 a ‘sudden/surprising’ hurricane coming ashore in the Southeast USA.
Actionable? Maybe not. Let me explain: The problem with all of this is that these are statistical probabilities based on shifts in language and may or may not actually happen. Secondly, they are not specifically actionable except insofar as people in SoCal and around New Madrid may wish to have earthquake kits topped off with fresh water. That comes up on my list this week, even though we’re nowhere near a quake-zone. At least yet.
Same thing with terrorism risks elevating around September 7-11th: Not enough clarity to be actionable and may not even be in the US, since only the terra entity has been processed so far, so it could be a few days before we find out if that shows in the PopUSA data when that portion of the model is run.
Then there’s the ‘sudden/surprising’ hurricane around Sept 13-15 in the SE USA. Again, about all you can do is buy a couple of blue tarps and have the generator ready; this one threatens to cause some degree of Diaspora and we should be treated to visuals of FEMA’s response in KatRita kind of fashion by say the 20th or so.
Beyond these three immediacy value pops it looks like the “Shape of Things to Come” report will be out around September 15th, and by then many of these short term values/aberrations in the data will be passed and they’re not really the point of the work, anyway.
My advise to anyone is to focus on those things which are personally actionable and blow off most of the rest of the news. Toward that end, next week’s Peoplenomics report is a kind of step-by-step report (workbook? Don’t know how wordy I will get…) which explains how to set up your own cross between a radio or TV assignment editor-level information platform at home and personal recording studio. Hope it won’t go ebook length, but that sometimes happens when it’s a subject that I really enjoy. Not that the budget for such a creation (About $1,000) could be better spent on other things, but it’s at least a primer on how to get access to non-corporate media and get some sense of how the rest of the world is operating.
You are what you think – and getting control of your own electronic sheep leash is at least a first step on the road to independent thought.
Having laid all that out, the markets really fade into insignificance, since fall market declines are nothing new and we’re almost at fall now. In the linguistic work, fall in America may be described any number of ways: The classic version would be through September 20/21 which it ‘officially’ arrives, but in contemporary language it’s from Memorial Day to Labor Day which means next weekend we’ll be edging out of it.
Where things have come more clearly into focus is what happens to the longer term values from September 15th out through next year and there are been some degradation in the outlook there, especially as it relates to basics like food and governmental organization and response to (nominally) free humans; just be patient and the report will be along. Meantime…
Fires Over Glendale
The “Summer of Hell” has been a bit lighter (so far) than some of my personal expectations, although we’ve had plenty of ‘revolutionary’ imagery & revolutionspeak to contend with; everything from demonstrators practicing open-carry of fire arms at political demonstrations, to the hot language around the town hall meetings attempted by congresspersons and now the major fires out in California which are threatening the big communication towers up on Mount Wilson.
Don’t know if you have ever had the chance to take the ‘windy roads’ up northeast from Glendale, but it’s a pretty area, or at least it used to be. A Google map of the area is here. The reason the Mount Wilson fire is important is that there are something like 22 television stations and 25 radio outlets with facilities up on that hill, although there aren’t that many towers. A lot of them are shared facilities with big backup generators and cooperative tower leasing. Two firefighters dead so far.
New Broom Sweeps Japan
The first time in what, 30-odd years, Japan has a new party in power. Gone are the (not really) Liberal Democratic Party and in come the Democrats. All of which would be a total yawner except for the fact that the Dems want to impose a ban on temporary workers on the factory floors of the country which has the business lobbyists are twisted up in their knickers.
Monday’s action on the Tokyo Stock Exchange was muted with the N225 down 4/10th’s of one percent. Japan’s economy has about been flatlined since 1996.
Like the US problems catching up to us now, Japan has problems that no one has simple answers for because all possible solutions will cause socioeconomic pain. The problem can be summarized as”
Government has made too many social commitments
Government hasn’t really ‘saved’ money to meet these commitments and
When a recession (second depression) kicks in, guess what? Not enough dough!
All of which leads to all kinds of teeth-gnashing and snarling among the politicos who rather than getting candid in in-your-face about the tough choices spend most of their time maneuvering for maximum personal gain/profit/wallet padding.
China was down almost 7 percent last night – way I figure it is that some of China’s hot money will be called home to cover, so I’d expect the US market to be down today. Just a feeling. Shanghai chart and numbers here. A couple of big losers in Chinese steels and transports when you drill down into it. Bummer for China’s economy.
The headline that H1N1 has infected about 10% of New York in its rounds this spring leaves me wondering “If this stuff is so damn dangerous, where are all the dead NY’ers?”
Such reasonable questions aside (and yes, I understand it can mutate) I’m still aghast and appalled that flu hysteria is on the verge of turning the Republik of Massachusetts into a “Constitution-free Zone” by contemplating roundups and $1,000 a day fines for those who won’t roll up their sleeves.
I won’t go for the obvious jackboot and needles since the net’s full of that.
President of Columbia has the swine flu.
Like It Wasn’t Obvious Department
Faced with North Sea declines, mounting debt load on the Pound, newspapers in the UK are getting around to my view that the “Lockerbie bomber was set free for oil.” Not being judgmental on this, mind you; depends how attached you are to driving and reliable power in the UK, does it not?
That said, Al Jazeera is reporting this morning that the Lockerbie bomb is in the hospital.
The British government is considering new rules which would allow UK ISP’s to cut off internet file-sharing users. As you’d expect, there are some folks who are really ticked at the proposal because it will likely add to internet costs. But, the government’s business secretary Peter Mandelson insists it’s a workable solution…
News watching tip: If a media outlet refers to the UK biz-sec as ‘Lord Mandelson’ you can get an important insight into the old (top down/royalty model) paradigm being supported down at the unquestioned/subliminal level.
“Lord” is royal labeling scheme and we don’t do that around here as my personal clarity on the subtleties of paradigm reinforcing mechanisms improves. Sorry for being so dense.
Slow Learner’s Department
I noticed that Russian television today is marking their pull out from Afghanistan 15-years ago. Meantime, “U.S. fears clock ticking on Afghanistan.” Can someone explain to me why we’re there besides the economic stimulus for the war machinery outfits, the poppy fields and pipeline routes?
Russian TV is also reporting about the growing number of political prisoners in Georgia – evidence they say that democracy is dying there. Still looks like a Moscow vs. the West flashpoint to me.
New Kind of Eye Surgery
One more from our scan of Russian headlines? Sure, how’s this one: “Cutting-edge laser surgery – with no cuts” is coming along.
I’ve been wondering if former veep Dick Cheney might have gotten a ‘get out of jail” card from his former boss George Bush before leaving office. At least that’s one question which crosses my mind upon reading how “Cheney may snub detainee probe.“
Linguistic note: If you or I did that it would be contempt. That Cheney might do it being called just a ‘snub’ is curious, isn’t it?