Harper to address nation tonight

*This should be amusing.*

Prime Minister plans television appearance at 7 p.m. ET; Liberal-NDP coalition given time to respond; Governor-General returns from Europe amid crisis

OTTAWA — A defiant Prime Minister Stephen Harper will take his pitch directly to the Canadian people tonight in a televised address as he fights for his political survival.

Mr. Harper will speak to Canadians at 7 p.m. ET Wednesday in an effort to justify his decision to stay in power rather than yield the prime minister’s office to Liberal Leader Stéphane Dion and his alliance with the NDP and separatist Bloc Québécois.

The Liberal-NDP coalition will be given airtime to respond.

Conservatives have been hinting strongly that Mr. Harper will ask Governor-General Michaëlle Jean to prorogue Parliament until January.

If approved, the move would allow the Prime Minister to avoid a confidence vote scheduled for Monday, where the three opposition parties have vowed to defeat the minority Conservative government.

The last time a Prime Minister took to the airwaves, it was also to appeal for more time in the face of a looming Parliamentary defeat.

Former Liberal prime minister Paul Martin spoke to the nation on a Thursday night in April, 2005, to address the fallout over his party’s sponsorship scandal.

In that address, Mr. Martin promised to hold an election within 10 months, to allow time for the publication of the final report from the public inquiry into the affair.

Mr. Harper, who was then leader of the Official Opposition, called the speech a “sad spectacle.”

“This government does not have the moral authority to govern between now and then and to deal with important issues such as the budget,” he said at the time.

Within days of Mr. Martin’s speech, the Liberals secured a short term arrangement to stay in power with the support of the NDP. Mr. Harper and Bloc Québécois Leader Gilles Duceppe continued to demand an election. NDP leader Jack Layton criticized Mr. Harper using very similar language to what Mr. Harper is using in the current situation.

“Mr. Harper will be getting into bed with the separatists,” Mr. Layton said in April, 2005.

On Tuesday, Mr. Harper spearheaded a campaign against the role of separatists in the alliance gunning to defeat him and raised the spectre of a national unity crisis as he laid the groundwork for a last-resort bid to suspend Parliament.

The Governor-General cut short a trip to Europe, and will likely soon face what appears to be Mr. Harper’s only remaining option: an unprecedented request to prorogue Parliament.

Fighting for his political life, Mr. Harper vowed that his Conservatives would use “every means that we have” to survive. He accused the Liberals and the NDP of a “betrayal of the best interests of our country” by signing a pact to govern in a coalition with Bloc Québécois support.

His accusations that the agreement reached on Monday would hand power to separatists prompted Mr. Dion, shaking with rage, to bellow: “Canadians are fed up with these lies.”

The Conservative strategy appeared to be shaping up Tuesday: a campaign to rally anti-coalition anger with attack ads, demonstrations and Internet campaigns; suspending Parliament till January, if Ms. Jean agrees; then returning with a stimulus budget.

The Conservatives hope that, given more time, a public backlash, especially over the pact with separatists, will persuade some Liberals to think twice. Public Safety Minister Peter Van Loan called on senior Liberals to revolt.

In the Commons, Mr. Dion attacked Mr. Harper for considering a move to prorogue Parliament — ending the session and starting another one in the New Year — portraying him as taking illegitimate steps to dodge defeat in a confidence vote on the economic update the Tories introduced last week.

The Liberal Leader read aloud Mr. Harper’s own words from 2005, when he condemned prime minister Paul Martin’s move to delay confidence votes as “a violation of the fundamental constitutional principles of our democracy.”

Mr. Harper countered: “The highest principle of Canadian democracy is that if one wants to be prime minister, one gets one’s mandate from the Canadian people and not from Quebec separatists.

“This deal that the Leader of the Liberal Party has made with the separatists is a betrayal of the voters of this country, a betrayal of the best interests of our economy, a betrayal of the best interests of our country and we will fight it with every means that we have.”

Mr. Dion, meanwhile, was said to be meeting with his staff, including senior adviser Herb Metcalfe, to discuss preparations for taking office and filling cabinet positions, although both Mr. Dion and NDP Leader Jack Layton said they had not yet discussed cabinet positions.

Green Party Leader Elizabeth May told reporters Tuesday she had discussed an appointment to the Senate with Mr. Dion. The Liberal Leader, speaking to reporters separately, seemed to leave open that possibility, but he also said he had made no commitments to anyone.

Both sides are fighting a no-holds-barred battle for public opinion.

The Tories unveiled radio ads Tuesday calling the coalition un-Canadian. The ads say Mr. Dion vowed in the election campaign not to form a coalition with the NDP, and now, without asking voters, “he’s working with the separatists to make that happen.”

“This is Canada. Power must be earned, not taken,” the ad concludes.

The Conservatives are considering having Mr. Harper address Canadians on TV — just as Mr. Martin did when he faced possible defeat by Mr. Harper’s Tories.

The Liberals and NDP, who have less money than the Conservatives, are responding with Internet and e-mail campaigns.

The crisis began last Thursday, after the government introduced an economic update that focused more on cutbacks to prevent a deficit than measures to stimulate the economy. The opposition parties declared that the Tories no longer had the support of Parliament.

Canada’s biggest union federation, the Canadian Labour Congress, launched a radio ad campaign promoting a dozen pro-coalition rallies across the country, arguing Mr. Harper has failed to make Parliament work or put Canadians’ economic worries first.

“He has no plan to protect jobs and help the economy. He has lost the support he needs to remain Prime Minister. Support a stronger vision for Canada. Support a new coalition government that will give our country leadership and hope,” the ad says.

Supporters of both sides are organizing campaigns to e-mail the Governor-General, and popular Calgary call-in-show host Dave Rutherford is pleading with his listeners to voice their displeasure to Ms. Jean over a possible “takeover” by a Liberal-NDP coalition.

If asked to prorogue Parliament, Ms. Jean would face an unprecedented constitutional dilemma: While a prime minister’s request to end a parliamentary session is usually granted automatically, the question now is whether she should allow it if the purpose is to avoid the defeat of a government on a confidence vote.

On Tuesday night, Ms. Jean told reporters in Prague that before she would agree to prorogue Parliament: “I have to see what the Prime Minister will say to me.

“I don’t know exactly about any of his intentions yet.”

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/RTGAM.20081203.wPOLcoalition1203/BNStory/politics/home?cid=al_gam_mostview

PM may suspend Parliament

OTTAWA – To save his job and his government, Prime Minister Stephen Harper is expected to suspend Parliament this week while his party blitzes the country with a public-relations campaign aimed at discrediting the notion of a Liberal-led coalition government propped up by the separatist Bloc Quebecois.

The Conservative party began airing radio ads Tuesday while ministers and other Tory representatives were appearing on as many all-news television channels and talk-radio programs as they could to push their party’s message that they will not, in the words of one of Harper’s senior advisers, “allow a new radical government without the people’s consent.”

The key attack line from the Tories is that the Liberals are betraying their federalist principles by agreeing to demands from the Bloc Quebecois.

“This deal that the leader of the Liberal party has made with the separatists is a betrayal of the voters of this country, a betrayal of the best interests of our economy, a betrayal of the best interests of our country, and we will fight it with every means we have,” Harper said in the House of Commons. “The highest principle of Canadian democracy is that if one wants to be prime minister, one gets one’s mandate from the Canadian people and not from Quebec separatists.”

But NDP Leader Jack Layton shot back that Harper himself was prepared to align himself with Gilles Duceppe and the Bloc Quebecois in 2004 when he was the opposition leader trying to bring down the government of Paul Martin.

“I didn’t hear any of this high and mighty language and moral indignation from the prime minister when he signed a document along with myself and Mr. (Bloc Leader Gilles) Duceppe a few years ago,” Layton said.

The Liberals challenged Harper to call a confidence vote.

“Every member of the House has received a mandate from the Canadian people to deliver a government that will face the economic crisis. The prime minister has failed. The prime minister does not have the support of the House any more,” Liberal Leader Stephane Dion said. “Will he allow a vote to test if he has really the confidence of the House as it must be in a parliamentary democracy?”

Dion and Harper engaged in a heated, even explosive, exchange. At one point, Harper accused Dion of removing the Canadian flags from the room before signing the deal with Layton and Duceppe. News organizations, including Canwest News Service, took several photographs which clearly showed there were two Canadian flags, as well as the flags from all the provinces, directly behind the leaders as they read their statements – along with a third separate Canadian flag behind the table where they signed the agreement.

Harper’s defiant demeanour in the House on Tuesday was in marked contrast to the previous day, when he and many other Conservative MPs seemed resigned to losing power.

But sources in the Prime Minister’s Office say he regained his fight while watching the signing Monday of the tri-partite accord. They say Harper was particularly incensed at Layton’s comments at the news conference that followed, during which he called on Harper to accept his fate with dignity and accept his new role as leader of the opposition. According to those close to the prime minister, Harper said he felt Layton and the other leaders failed to show him any respect.

During question period Tuesday, the Conservatives leaped to their feet on several occasions to give the prime minister standing ovations. Insults flew from both sides of the Commons, with the Tories labeling Dion a “traitor” and the Liberals shouting at Harper, “You are not the president.” After question period, the Conservatives showered the prime minister with chants of “Harper! Harper!” in the government lobby before breaking out into the national anthem.

The bare-knuckles politicking followed the unveiling Monday of the historic accord between the Liberals and the NDP to unseat Harper’s minority government and replace it with a coalition supported by the Bloc Quebecois. The new coalition government would be led by Dion until May 2, his previously announced resignation date, when the new leader of the Liberal party would take over as prime minister. Layton and five of his NDP MPs would get seats in the 24-person coalition cabinet.

But several Liberal MPs, asking for anonymity, said that while the deal had the unanimous support of caucus, it was the best of a bad set of choices facing their party, and they privately hoped another way out of this political showdown might be found.

For Harper, it’s the fight of his political career. Many in his caucus are already grumbling that he’s responsible for goading the opposition with unnecessary and incendiary initiatives in last week’s economic and fiscal statement. In that document, the government proposed eliminating taxpayer subsidies for political parties and rolling back wages for public-sector unions while taking away their right to strike. Both those measures were hastily withdrawn over the weekend, but not before they had galvanized the opposition to begin the talks that would eventually lead to the coalition accord.

The Conservative party also launched a new website at canadians4democracy.ca and was trying to organize various anti-coalition rallies across the country. Conservative activists are also being encouraged to call Liberal and NDP MPs to convince them to reconsider.

Meanwhile, Gov. Gen Michaelle Jean, who will play a key role in breaking the parliamentary logjam, is cutting short a state visit to Europe to return to Canada on Wednesday.

The government has the authority to suspend Parliament indefinitely, a process known as “proroguing.” However, the prime minister must ask the Governor General for approval before doing so.

Typically, the Governor General grants the request as a matter of course at the end of a long Parliament, but Jean will be facing unprecedented circumstances, namely, the prospect of a government trying to suspend Parliament in the face of certain defeat.

If Parliament is prorogued, it would most likely reconvene just before the Conservatives table a budget on Jan. 27, giving the Tories nearly two months to conduct their anti-coalition campaign for nearly two months.

Many Liberal and NDP MPs said Tuesday they fully expect Harper to prorogue. Conservative officials were non-committal when asked, saying only the prime minister would use “any legal means necessary” to secure his position. The prime minister is expected to make a televised address if and when he decides to prorogue.

Prorogation could happen as early as Wednesday, although Liberals and Conservatives are betting Harper will wait until the end of the week while his party’s public-relations campaign builds some steam.

If Harper does seek a prorogation – or suspension of the current session of Parliament – and if the Governor General refuses his request, the government would face its first and likely last confidence vote in the House of Commons on Monday. Although Jean could choose to call a new general election, should the government lose a confidence motion, constitutional experts and many Conservatives themselves believe that, given how little time has elapsed since the Oct. 14 general election, she would simply invite Dion to form a government and become the country’s 23rd prime minister.

Jean said in a TV interview in Prague that she has received the letter Dion sent Monday on behalf of the coalition that has formed to replace the Conservatives.

“I received his letter, and the message in the letter is clear,” Jean said. “I think that my presence is required in the country, so I will be leaving tomorrow.”

Asked what she would do if Harper asks for a prorogation, Jean replied that her door is open when she returns.

“Before I can answer this question, I have to see what the prime minister has to say to me, and what he is actually thinking of doing. I don’t know exactly anything about his intentions yet.”

http://www.montrealgazette.com/suspend+Parliament+avoid+confidence/1021160/story.html

L’humiliation pour Harper “la terreur”

Les conservateurs canadiens devaient former un nouveau gouvernement minoritaire après les législatives anticipées du 14 octobre. Mais les méthodes de leur chef, Stephen Harper, ont convaincu les partis d’opposition de s’entendre pour prendre le pouvoir.

Que se passe-t-il au Canada ? La presse est frappée de stupeur face aux événements qui se déroulent à Ottawa depuis une semaine. “Quel choix amer doivent maintenant faire les Canadiens : un gouvernement dirigé par Stephen Harper, dont les méthodes en ont déçu plusieurs ; ou un gouvernement emmené par Stéphane Dion, le chef du Parti libéral, massivement rejeté par le pays il y a six semaines [lors des législatives anticipées qui se sont déroulées le 14 octobre] ? Que le gagnant puisse devenir le perdant et que le perdant puisse devenir le gagnant est un scénario que personne n’aurait pu imaginer il y a une semaine. L’auteur de ce scénario est Stephen Harper, dont les erreurs de jugement ont permis la signature, le 1er décembre, d’une entente de coalition – bonne pour dix-huit mois – entre Stéphane Dion, Jack Layton, le chef des néodémocrates [NPD, gauche], et le séparatiste Gilles Duceppe à la tête du Bloc québécois”, note Jeffrey Simpson dans le Globe and Mail.

L’énoncé économique présenté par le ministre des Finances Jim Flaherty, le 27 novembre, a mis le feu aux poudres. Son bilan avant le dépôt du budget fédéral en janvier 2009 devait fixer les orientations du nouveau gouvernement. Perçu comme une attaque profondément partisane, il a provoqué la colère des partis d’opposition alors que leur appui est nécessaire aux conservateurs minoritaires au Parlement canadien. Stephen Harper, qui croyait pouvoir passer en force, fait désormais machine arrière. Mais il est trop tard pour son gouvernement, car une motion de censure pourrait être votée et de nouvelles élections convoquées. Pour éviter ce scénario, les trois partis d’opposition ont donc préféré s’entendre entre eux et former un projet de coalition gouvernementale. Les libéraux et les néodémocrates formeraient le nouveau cabinet que les indépendantistes du Bloc québécois appuieraient au Parlement sans y prendre part. Cette situation inédite dans l’histoire du pays ne finit pas d’étonner. Stéphane Dion, chef démissionnaire du Parti libéral après les résultats calamiteux des dernières élections, deviendrait Premier ministre du Canada d’ici à ce que sa formation se choisisse un nouveau chef, en mai prochain !

Jeffrey Simpson note que “si cette coalition prend le pouvoir, le Canada aura un dirigeant intérimaire que presque tous les députés libéraux préféreraient ne pas voir à leur tête”. Certains commentateurs estiment que les libéraux sont excités par l’odeur du sang et qu’ils sont prêts à tout pour prendre le pouvoir. La presse est cependant unanime pour désigner Stephen Harper comme responsable de ce climat délétère. Le quotidien de gauche The Toronto Star affirme que “la coalition entre libéraux et néodémocrates est aujourd’hui préférable au régime conservateur dirigé par Harper. Celui-ci a démontré que pour lui l’idéologie et la logique partisane étaient plus importantes que de former un bon gouvernement.” Plus à l’ouest, Don Martin, du Calgary Herald, estime que “ce qui est en train de se passer marque la fin de Harper le téméraire. Il a été réduit au statut de simple mortel, bataillant pour sauver sa peau comme une terreur soudainement vulnérable aux attaques de ses rivaux et de certains membres de son propre parti.”

Au Québec, Michel David du Devoir s’inquiète des effets du bras de fer qui se déroule à Ottawa sur la campagne électorale en cours dans la province. “Quelle qu’en soit l’issue, la crise politique qui ébranle le Canada aura inévitablement un impact sur l’élection québécoise du 8 décembre, ne serait-ce qu’en réduisant encore davantage le peu d’intérêt que la population y a prêté jusqu’à présent.”

http://www.courrierinternational.com/article.asp?obj_id=92200

NDP, Liberals reach deal to topple minority Tory government

The NDP and Liberals have reached a deal to topple the minority Conservative government and take power themselves in a coalition, CBC News has learned.

A deal has been negotiated between NDP Leader Jack Layton and Liberal Leader Stéphane Dion that would see them form a coalition government for two and a half years, the CBC’s Keith Boag reported, citing sources.

The NDP would be invited into cabinet and get 25 per cent of seats, Boag said, adding that the party wouldn’t get the position of the finance chair or the deputy prime minister’s post.

“That’s the big step forward tonight,” Boag reported.

The Bloc Québécois wouldn’t be a part of the coalition, but would have to support it, he said.

“The most difficult question is who’ll be the leader,” Boag said, adding that Dion, who negotiated the deal, believes he has the right to be prime minister.

Opposition parties say they have lost confidence in the government of Prime Minister Stephen Harper after Thursday’s economic update by Finance Minister Jim Flaherty failed to provide a stimulus package for Canadians.

Since then, the Liberals have been in negotiations to form a coalition with the NDP, and the concessions made by the Conservatives this weekend have done nothing to change the party’s view that Harper must go.

http://www.cbc.ca/canada/story/2008/11/30/canada-coalition.html#socialcomments

Instant poll finds Dion clear debate winner

French-speaking Canadians surveyed by Ipsos Reid immediately after Wednesday’s debate said the Liberal Leader won the night, and one in five viewers say they changed their mind.

TORONTO — Liberal Leader Stéphane Dion clearly prevailed in the French-language leaders’ debate, according to viewers surveyed by Ipsos Reid immediately after Wednesday’s telecast.

The online poll found 40 per cent of voters said Mr. Dion won the debate, compared with 24 per cent who gave the contest to Bloc Québécois Leader Gilles Duceppe. Conservative Leader Stephen Harper came in at 16 per cent, NDP Leader Jack Layton at 11 per cent, and Green Party Leader Elizabeth May at just 1 per cent.

A Crop poll for La Presse with a smaller sample size found Mr. Dion ranked second, trailing Mr. Duceppe by only 6 per cent among viewers who rated their performance as “excellent” or “very good.” Only 18 per cent said Mr. Harper had won the debate.

While there was no knock-out punch, Mr. Dion was at ease in his native tongue and set the agenda by promising he would implement a five-point economic action plan within 30 days of becoming prime minister. He may have also benefited from low expectations after a rocky campaign plagued by poor polling numbers.

First televised leaders’ debate of the 2008 election campaign turns into a wide-ranging and substantive discussion of policy.

The Ipsos Reid poll found 36 per cent of viewers rated Mr. Dion as the leader who sounds and acts most like a prime minister, ahead of Mr. Harper at 31 per cent. One in five respondents – 20 per cent – said they had changed their mind about who to vote for as a result of viewing the debate.

The debate, which took place at the National Arts Centre in Ottawa, was seen as critical to Mr. Harper’s effort to win a majority government and to Mr. Dion’s efforts to revive the faltering Liberal campaign. The bout saw Mr. Harper raked over the coals, smiling thinly as his opponents did most of the talking. The multipronged barrage appeared to leave the Conservative Leader resigned to having to weather the onslaught.

Other findings:

• 41 per cent of voters said Mr. Dion offered the best policies and ideas during the debate. In second was Mr. Duceppe at 22 per cent, Mr. Layton at 19 per cent, Mr. Harper at 13 per cent and Ms. May at 1 per cent.

• Mr. Layton was ranked most likeable and the person voters would most like to go out with for a bear or coffee. Mr. Layton was also viewed to be the most visually attractive (33 per cent), following by Mr. Duceppe at 22 per cent, Mr. Dion at 19 per cent, Mr. Harper at 15 per cent and Ms. May at 5 per cent.

A total of 637 French-speaking Canadian voters were polled online immediately after the debate. The results are considered accurate plus-or-minus 3.9 per cent, 19 times out of 20. The data were statistically weighted to ensure the sample’s age, sex, regional and party support composition reflects that of the actual French-speaking voter population. The sample was drawn from a pre-recruited panel of 12,000 voters from Ipsos Reid’s internet panel.

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/RTGAM.20081002.welxndionlead1002/BNStory/politics/home

Liberal plane diverted to Montreal

*Hmmm…didn’t it happen to Obama recently???*

The Liberal campaign’s airplane was forced to make an unexpected landing in Montreal on Tuesday evening.

The CBC’s Susan Bonner, who was on the plane and is following the Liberal campaign, said the plane’s cabin lights went off shortly after taking off from Sherbrooke, Que.

One of the plane’s two on-board generators apparently lost power, said the CBC’s James Fitz-Morris.

All those aboard the plane will be spending the night in Montreal, he said, as the problem is fixed.

The Boeing 737, owned by Air Inuit, had been scheduled to land in southern Ontario.

Liberal Leader Stéphane Dion was in Sherbrooke to make a health-care announcement, promising a $420-million fund to boost the numbers of doctors and nurses across the country.

He is scheduled to speak at the University of Western Ontario in London, Ont., at 9:30 a.m. ET Wednesday.

http://www.cbc.ca/news/canadavotes/story/2008/09/16/liberal-plane.html