Only What’s Actionable

*From UrbanSurvival*

If I had a crystal ball, I’d be tempted to cover the damn thing up because the next several weeks are looking downright crappy.  So much is drifting around in the predictive linguistics that Cliff at www.halfpasthuman.com is planning to put out a “Shape of Things To Come” report around the 15th.  But, beyond that, after swearing off ‘short term immediacy values’ there are three that I outlined for Peoplenomics subscribers on Sunday that you may as well put them on your refrigerator door so you can play along at home.

The three high immediacy values indicate the increased chance of a major earthquake this week (Sep 2-5, more likely 3-4) which will be large enough (>6.8 to 8.0+) that a couple of weeks after the quake we’ll still be watching imagery of buildings falling into their foundations.  Might want to bookmark the USGS global seismograph page here.  Oh, and the global quake list here.  Along about Thursday or Friday is when the data seems to peak.

Quake could be Turkey/Pakistan/Asia/China because of the time delay in the pictures, or around latitude 34 north but that data’s very broad, so anything south of the SF area latitude-wise seems possible.  And may not be North lat.  See the problem?

Then about a week later (shading toward September 7-11 there’s an increased risk of ‘terrorism’ events (explosions, no further detail or clarity yet) and then around September 13-15 a ‘sudden/surprising’ hurricane coming ashore in the Southeast USA.

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Actionable?  Maybe not.  Let me explain:  The problem with all of this is that these are statistical probabilities based on shifts in language and may or may not actually happen.  Secondly, they are not specifically actionable except insofar as people in SoCal and around New Madrid may wish to have earthquake kits topped off with fresh water.  That comes up on my list this week, even though we’re nowhere near a quake-zone.  At least yet.

Same thing with terrorism risks elevating around September 7-11th:  Not enough clarity to be actionable and may not even be in the US, since only the terra entity has been processed so far, so it could be a few days before we find out if that shows in the PopUSA data when that portion of the model is run.

Then there’s the ‘sudden/surprising’ hurricane around Sept 13-15 in the SE USA.  Again, about all you can do is buy a couple of blue tarps and have the generator ready; this one threatens to cause some degree of Diaspora and we should be treated to visuals of FEMA’s response in KatRita kind of fashion by say the 20th or so.

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Beyond these three immediacy value pops it looks like the “Shape of Things to Come” report will be out around September 15th, and by then many of these short term values/aberrations in the data will be passed and they’re not really the point of the work, anyway.

My advise to anyone is to focus on those things which are personally actionable and blow off most of the rest of the news.  Toward that end,  next week’s Peoplenomics report is a kind of step-by-step report (workbook?  Don’t know how wordy I will get…) which explains how to set up your own cross between a radio or TV assignment editor-level information platform at home and personal recording studio.  Hope it won’t go ebook length, but that sometimes happens when it’s a subject that I really enjoy.  Not that  the budget for such a creation (About $1,000) could be better spent on other things, but it’s at least a primer on how to get access to non-corporate media and get some sense of how the rest of the world is operating.

You are what you think – and getting control of your own electronic sheep leash is at least a first step on the road to independent thought.

Having laid all that out, the markets really fade into insignificance, since fall market declines are nothing new and we’re almost at fall now.  In the linguistic work, fall in America may be described any number of ways:  The classic version would be through September 20/21 which it ‘officially’ arrives, but in contemporary language it’s from Memorial Day to Labor Day which means next weekend we’ll be edging out of it.

Where things have come more clearly into focus is what happens to the longer term values from September 15th out through next year and there are been some degradation in the outlook there, especially as it relates to basics like food and governmental organization and response to (nominally) free humans; just be patient and the report will be along.  Meantime…

Fires Over Glendale

The “Summer of Hell” has been a bit lighter (so far) than some of my personal expectations, although we’ve had plenty of ‘revolutionary’ imagery & revolutionspeak to contend with; everything from demonstrators practicing open-carry of fire arms at political demonstrations, to the hot language around the town hall meetings attempted by congresspersons and now the major fires out in California which are threatening the big communication towers up on Mount Wilson.

Don’t know if you have ever had the chance to take the ‘windy roads’ up northeast from Glendale, but it’s a pretty area, or at least it used to be.  A Google map of the area is here.  The reason the Mount Wilson fire is important is that there are something like 22 television stations and 25 radio outlets with facilities up on that hill, although there aren’t that many towers.  A lot of them are shared facilities with big backup generators and cooperative tower leasing.  Two firefighters dead so far.

New Broom Sweeps Japan

The first time in what, 30-odd years, Japan has a new party in power.  Gone are the (not really) Liberal Democratic Party and in come the Democrats.  All of which would be a total yawner except for the fact that the Dems want to impose a ban on temporary workers on the factory floors of the country which has the business lobbyists are twisted up in their knickers.

Monday’s action on the Tokyo Stock Exchange was muted with the N225 down 4/10th’s of one percent.  Japan’s economy has about been flatlined since 1996.

Like the US problems catching up to us now, Japan has problems that no one has simple answers for because all possible solutions will cause socioeconomic pain.  The problem can be summarized as”

  • Government has made too many social commitments

  • Government hasn’t really ‘saved’ money to meet these commitments and

  • When a recession (second depression) kicks in, guess what?  Not enough dough!

All of which leads to all kinds of teeth-gnashing and snarling among the politicos who rather than getting candid in in-your-face about the tough choices spend most of their time maneuvering for maximum personal gain/profit/wallet padding.

China was down almost 7 percent last night – way I figure it is that some of China’s hot money will be called home to cover, so I’d expect the US market to be down today.  Just a feeling.  Shanghai chart and numbers here.  A couple of big losers in Chinese steels and transports when you drill down into it.  Bummer for China’s economy.

Sick City

The headline that H1N1 has infected about 10% of New York in its rounds this spring leaves me wondering “If this stuff is so damn dangerous, where are all the dead NY’ers?”

Such reasonable questions aside (and yes, I understand it can mutate) I’m still aghast and appalled that flu hysteria is on the verge of turning the Republik of Massachusetts into a “Constitution-free Zone” by contemplating roundups and $1,000 a day fines for those who won’t roll up their sleeves.

I won’t go for the obvious jackboot and needles since the net’s full of that.

President of Columbia has the swine flu.

Like It Wasn’t Obvious Department

Faced with North Sea declines, mounting debt load on the Pound, newspapers in the UK are getting around to my view that the “Lockerbie bomber was set free for oil.”  Not being judgmental on this, mind you; depends how attached you are to driving and reliable power in the UK, does it not?

That said, Al Jazeera is reporting this morning that the Lockerbie bomb is in the hospital.

Pirate Blockades

The British government is considering new rules which would allow UK ISP’s to cut off internet file-sharing users.  As you’d expect, there are some folks who are really ticked at the proposal because it will likely add to internet costs.  But, the government’s business secretary Peter Mandelson insists it’s a workable solution

News watching tip:  If a media outlet refers to the UK biz-sec as ‘Lord Mandelson’ you can get an important insight into the old (top down/royalty model) paradigm being supported down at the unquestioned/subliminal level.

“Lord” is royal labeling scheme and we don’t do that around here as my personal clarity on the subtleties of paradigm reinforcing mechanisms improves.  Sorry for being so dense.

Slow Learner’s Department

I noticed that Russian television today is marking their pull out from Afghanistan 15-years ago.  Meantime, “U.S. fears clock ticking on Afghanistan.”  Can someone explain to me why we’re there besides the economic stimulus for the war machinery outfits, the poppy fields and pipeline routes?

Russian TV is also reporting about the growing number of political prisoners in Georgia – evidence they say that democracy is dying there.  Still looks like a Moscow vs. the West flashpoint to me.

New Kind of Eye Surgery

One more from our scan of Russian headlines?  Sure, how’s this one:  “Cutting-edge laser surgery – with no cuts” is coming along.

Immunity Card?

I’ve been wondering if former veep Dick Cheney might have gotten a ‘get out of jail” card from his former boss George Bush before leaving office.  At least that’s one question which crosses my mind upon reading how “Cheney may snub detainee probe.

Linguistic note: If you or I did that it would be contempt.  That Cheney might do it being called just a ‘snub’ is curious, isn’t it?

http://urbansurvival.com/week.htm

Mapping The Road Ahead

It’s a fine thing to do at the end of an incredibly busy week: sit down with a cuppa joe, a super-fast internet pipe, and review not only what happened over the past week, but where things seem to be headed in our run-up to the “summer of hell/2009″ which, according to the predictive linguistics work at www.halfpasthuman.com, is about as close to a slam-dunk as you’ll find off the basketball court.

In case you’re new to this site, the Big Picture goes something like this:

  • We’re in a collision of paradigms which will last something like 10-years.  As my friend Dr. Jack Lessinger notes “Unfortunately, the Consumer Economy is not a static reality. Everything changes. Over many decades, the relentless drive to boost consumption inevitably brought overconsumption and with it, dire consequences. ”  So, coming along, but taking its own sweet time about getting here, will be something he calls “responsible capitalism” but not the kind of highly socialized kind of solution that’s presently sloshing around between the big white buildings inside the beltway.

  • The US dollar is effectively bankrupt; rotted from the inside-out by excessive government spending since politicians have this genetic defect where they promise more than they can deliver, only to find that they can make-good on promises by destroying the purchasing power of the US dollar.  This is why since 1913 the purchasing power of the dollar is about 4% of what it once was.  But, since the American public hates math, it’s been an easy double-speak shuffle for offishuls (sic) at all levels to sell you the idea that what’s been going on is inflation.  This deliberate reframing of the financial problem into gibberish is exactly how the PowersThatBe (the banksters behind the throne and their lobbyist cohorts), depend on to keep you hornswaggled into a crooked system where you work your ass off for 40-years only to find you’ve been swindled out of your 401(k)’s purchasing power.  Sweet deal for them, huh?  Guess who ends up rich?  It’s not the person you see in the mirror, if that’s a hint.

  • Another way to screw you out of your life’s work has been to reframe the ‘stimulus’ such that it goes to meaningless places like saving derivative counterparties under the outlandish belief that this will prevent a second Great Depression, only many times worse.  It won’t, of course since if you listen to really rich, really bright guys like George Soros, they’ll remind you that the residential housing bubble collapse was only Round One and that Round Two which is coming along now will involve a 30% drop in commercial property values.

  • And since the money which should be used to fund new construction, consumer financing, and American self-sufficiency, and so forth is going to bankers and special interests, another story which will be making the rounds in a month or two, I figure, will be how farmers are cutting way back on their commitments to plant crop this year.  I was speaking to the president of a modestly-sized ag operation earlier this week and he said folks he’s talking with are finding just what he’s found, namely that banks may say he has a million dollar line of credit, but they are being very stingy about letting farmers actually draw against it this year.  What this means is that here’s something that’s almost a lead-pipe cinch to push food prices up this summer:  reduced credit for farmers (or severely restricted lending) coupled with high input costs, such that there will be less food this coming summer and fall.  Already, a good bit of Eastern Washington’s wheat is at reduced levels, and then there’s the fallout from the flooding up in North Dakota to contend with. And so the precursors for this November’s crisis are being set even now.

  • Government, all the while being blown about by the financial string-pullers, has to find some way to keep you and me under control, otherwise we wouldn’t be willing to give nearly 40% of everything we make (taxes and excess profits) to a bunch of bozos who hold themselves as somehow smarter than the rest of us.  Gotta reality check to consider here.  So, in order to keep everyone occupied – including countries like Afghanistan where Mr. Change is throwing even more troops in, on the grounds that Afghanistan-Pakistan is the most dangerous place in the world – we build a better and better killing machine.

  • But I’m here to propose this morning that Afghanistan is NOT the most dangerous place.  The most dangerous place in the world is the UK.  That’s right: England. You see, the PowersThatBe are getting ready for one of the biggest crackdowns on personal liberties ever under the guise of protecting the G20-money shufflers.  True, “London Protesters threaten Bankers, evoke Executions” but it’s a protest and protest is the stuff of which Freedom is cast.  So to keep the UK’s sheep in line, authorities have identified 200 children as potential terrorists.  OMG, bring back McCarthyism and HUAC, at least those made some kind of sense.  Having over a million US citizens on no-fly lists just doesn’t pass my smell test; perhaps it does yours?

  • Meantime, “Obama a sets Qaeda defeat as top goal in Afghanistan“.  Yes, there really are some Islamic extremists who would like to kill you and me because we’re infidels.  Still, thousands of troops, is that the most effective solution?  How about hit teams?  Armies are find for set/place battles against large forces and all, but how do you cut off the head of a beast?  The world clings to a Middle Ages concept that heads of movements are not top targets; nonsensical, but that’s why folks like Napoleon didn’t get ‘offed’ the first time out in a real battle.  This same silliness persists today; and as a result, we don’t go ab out things very efficiently, although admittedly the result is more employment, higher visibility of the decision-making process and a lot of social control.  But then again, that’s what wars are about, right?  Kill enough people and break enough things and you get an economic bump from warfare and another economic bump from rebuilding.

  • Then we have a Secretary of State who is pushing for a “stronger China role”.  I’m not sure what she’s thinking (if at all, on this) since 1) China is a huge buyer of US paper debt instruments and has the US by the proverbial goanies and 2) China makes about 1/2 of everything non-food sold in your local Big Box store.  So they have us by the right one, and by the left one, so to speak.  Yet this enlightened ‘leader’ says they need a stronger role?  How stoopid do the folks at the top think the people who work in this country are?  What we need is leadership that would a) increase domestic US production of goods we consume.  But that isn’t going to happen since the big bucks inside the District of Corruption flows from industry and special interest groups, right?  Then b) we need to have sound money so we don’t have to go hat in hand to China every couple of weeks to beg them to buy our quickly depreciating paper.

All of this stuff is really very simple and obvious if you just take a few moments of quiet contemplation to ask that one more upstream question.  Instead of breaking out of a bad mold and standing up to the lunacy of the past that has driven us into the presently developing socioeconomic corner, the ‘fast change’ artists are simply doing more of the same that got us into our barrel of pickles at every turn.

Sound government begins with sound thinking.  You know: The kind that the Framers embodied in the Constitution which these officials are supposed to protect and defend.  But instead of asking the right questions  like “How do we all work just 2-hours of day or less and live in a land of plenty with Liberty and Justice for all?” would be a great starter…And that’s all it should take: Automation is really that good and yet we’re all pawns in this silly paradigm reinforcement exercise….” we instead get a change in troop allocations, a change in naming of enemy combatants, and a change in the role of China.

I don’t know about you, but I have to join guys like George Soros and commodity legend Jim Rogers who are concerned, as am I, that this all ends badly.

So on that note, it’s Saturday morning and I’m going to go work on my garden, do my taxes, and anything else that comes to mind that enables me to live as a free American enjoying the fruits of liberty as long as they’re to be had.  Suggest you do the same.

Oh, one more thing:  The state of “Missouri retracts report linking militias, 3rd party candidates.”

A victory for freedom?  Yes, but only as long as the public fulfills its role and remains vigilant.

Have you called your folks in Washington about HR 875, HR 814 and SR 425 which would reduce agricultural freedom under the guise of food safety?  No?  See…another perfect example of people sitting on their asses deserve what they get from the corporate-government monoculture which I call (corpgov).

Oh, one more thing on top of that:  Since we are in a huge period of change (wait till mid May, if you think things are changing quickly now, LOL) the time monks may release a public ‘libretto of coming events’ just so you can have a little lead time to adjust to future events before they get here.  No point having a rickety time machine if we don’t share some of its outputs, right?  Not as much as I get into in Peoplenomics, or the full up HalfPastHuman reports, but an outline sufficient so a thoughtful person can get ahead of the curve a bit.

Drop by Monday morning.  I’ve gotten permission from Alan Land to post a couple of .MP3′s for you to download (free, of course).  One is called “Tent City” and the other is called “California IOU”  Know the scary part?  These were both recorded in 1983…see how circular time is?


http://urbansurvival.com/week.htm

Webbot Update-February 17th-Obama’s Test Week?

The predictive linguistics work over at www.halfpasthuman.com has been saying for a fair spell that the Obama administration first big ‘test’ would come after we got something having to do with ships grounding, something about gold popping, and a few other items.

So, in the past couple of weeks we have been seeing all kinds of ship accidents/groundings – Just to mention a few, there were some fishing boat rescues, that tanker losing power off the Golden Gate, the tanker collision off Dubai, and then this weekend a couple of nuclear submarines colliding in the Atlantic.  And what about that guided missile cruiser grounding off Hawaii? So that linguistic set is chock-a-block full and done.   If you wanted, you could throw in the collision of the Kosmos and the coincidentally numbered Iridium 33 satellites over Siberia, too, since they were a couple of space ships.  The fallout from that is still making headlines in Kentucky and Texas after fireballs were sighted.  Linguistically, things don’t get much fuller than all that.

So what’s this ‘test’ business all about?  Well, that is open to speculation.  One line of language hints goes to the idea that it will have some military component to it and that at some point here shortly, Obama will have a chance to ‘win a battle, lose a war’ or he could ‘lose a battle, win the war”.  But, on the other side, that could be simply metaphorical as the economy seems to be in the midst of imploding.

Economic conditions are quickly deteriorating in the wake of Moody’s latest red flags about the banking sector in Eastern Europe.  Here in the US, the stock futures point to a triple-Excedrin day on the exchanges, but there is a bright spot for folks like us who have already fled paper assets and have gotten back to the 4-G strategy: gun, garden, gold, and grub.  When I checked earlier, gold was well over the $960 level, and see the chart at the top of the page for more.  Seems I’m not the only one that has figured out that printing up money hand-over-fist will water down the purchasing power of dollars such that inflation/hyperinflation is a real possibility.

http://urbansurvival.com/week.htm

2009 Webbot Predictions

Highlights….

January-The services bubble begins to collapse.  Malls and luxury goods tank. Unemployment continues upward.

February-Building tensions to the “Summer of Hell.” Global events start to heat up. Waves of enlistments to the US Military as alternative to unemployment (Obama youth corps?)

March and April-Food and goods riots.  Demonstrations. Breakdown of social contract. International pressure begins to build on the US dollar. NASA and political-whistleblowers.

May-Homeless, unemployed and displaced begin to question the socioeconomic contract. Prices of commodities continue rising. Electricity becomes sporadic in areas. All situations are starting to build into potential violence. Global coastal events go mainstream.

June and July-”Summer of Hell” might vary according to area. For example, California might have veggies but no power. Northwest might have power, but no veggies. There will be a lot of smaller earthquakes that people will start to notice as footnotes to the breakdown.

August-Government services falter as budgets collapse. Purchasing power of the dollar failing. Possibility of social security and government assistance being temporarily halted.

September-Geopolitical landscape changed as communities become cooperative living models. Think hippies. Eroded federal governance.

October-Internet becomes sporadic. Two major ship disappearances…may involve Hollywood or royalty.

Project outlook-First effects of Australia’s net censorship.